خلاصة:
Selecting a suitable approach to achieve sustainable economic growth, particularly in developing nations, has always been a central theme in economic research. Economists continually seek a universal factor driving this phenomenon. The theory of economic catch-up, rooted in the Schumpeterian school and informed by the developmental experiences of East Asia (South Korea, China, and Taiwan) offers a framework for understanding this growth and development. Since different sectors offer different potentials for developmental entry, selecting industries becomes a crucial question in transitioning from poverty to prosperity. Through an exploration of theoretical foundations and existing research, we've distilled four key indicators: technology life cycle, modularity of technology, explicit knowledge levels, and the extent of embodied technology transfer. These indicators serve as a framework for prioritizing and selecting industries in alignment with the catch-up approach. To determine priorities, we've assigned weights to these indicators using the hierarchical analysis method. Employing the PROMETHEE method to rank stock market industries in Iran, three industries emerged in the following order: computer and electronics, medical, optical, and measuring instruments, and automobile and spare parts. These findings provide a framework for identifying key industries in Iran's seventh development plan and industrial policy document, facilitating informed decision-making.
ملخص الجهاز:
Prioritizing Iranian Industries Based on Economic Leap Indicators Rouhollah Kohanhooshnezhad* Seyyed Mahdi Pakzat** Reza Mohammadian Amiri*** Farhad Hadinejad**** 1 Date of Receipt: 2023/02/20 Date of Acceptance: 2023/08/09 Abstract How to achieve sustainable economic growth, especially in developing countries, has always been one of the discussed topics in economic research, and economists strive to find a universal factor for economic growth.
From studying the theoretical foundations and research literature of the Schumpeterian approach, four indicators—technology life cycle, technology modularity, level of explicit knowledge, and degree of technology transfer—have been extracted and used as a framework for prioritizing and selecting industries compatible with the leap approach.
Keywords: Leap, technology, Schumpeter, hierarchy, Permati JEL Classification: O14, O33 Introduction How to achieve sustainable economic growth, especially in developing countries, has always been one of the discussed topics in economic research, and economists strive to find a universal factor for economic growth that can connect all the countries of the world, regardless of their income levels and structural differences.
Experts in this field, by relying on the economic development experience of East Asian countries, including South Korea, China, and Taiwan, have provided a framework to explain the economic catch-up of these countries and have expanded concepts such as economic catch-up 1, leapfrogging 2, middle-income trap 3, and windows of opportunity 4 with examples from the real world.
Industry selection is important because all sectors are not equal in terms of entry possibilities, and lagging countries, which are considered among the late entrants 1 in the international labor market division and stability (Baldwin, 2016: 19), must seek appropriate entry points.