چکیده:
Iran has suffered ever-increasing domestic energy consumption, mostly because of its long-standing price control policy. To decelerate this trend, Iran began a reform on its energy subsidy system in December 2010. This paper examines the inflationary impact of the energy subsidy reform on different Iranian non-energy sectors and urban and rural households by making an updated input–output price model and deriving the energy price elasticities(the percentage change in price of non-energy sectors in response to a one percent change in price of energy carriers). The results show that full reform (increasing the domestic energy prices immediately to average regional market prices) would increase consumption prices by 54.1% that impresses the expenditures of urban households more. In addition, the manufacture of non-metallic mineral products, basic metal industries, and transport, storage and communication sectors would experience the largest increase in production prices. Finally, electricity, natural gas and gasoline have the largest impact on production prices.
خلاصه ماشینی:
"(2011) Regarding government transfers to household, household welfare will increase with a 100% or 200% rise in energy prices and decrease with a 400% and 500% rise in energy prices Impact of rising energy prices on the household welfare Khalili andBarkhordari (2012) No positive impact in agricultural and service sectors The impact of energy seucbosniodmyicrgerfoorwmth on sector Asbabdabsieaingi (2012)and Reduces the welfare of both rural and urban households, especially the people in the lowest income deciles Social welfare effects of the energy subsidy reform Hazeri Nayyeri andHosseini Nasab(2014) The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 explains the methodology underpinning the input–output price model.
or Other manufacturing industries 22 fAogrreisctruylture, hunting and 11 Crude oil and (npartiumraalrgas energy) 1 Construction 23 Fishing 12 Electricity 2 Wholesale and retail trade and maintenance 24 Other mining 13 Water 3 Restaurants and hotels 25 Food, beverages and tobacco 14 Natural gas 4 Transport, storage and communication 26 lTeeatxhtielre,iwdeuasrtirniegsapparel and 15 Gasoline 5 Financing and insurance 27 Wood and wood products 16 Kerosene 6 Real estate and business services 28 pPraipnetirnagndnpdapuerbpirsohidnugcts, 17 Gas oil 7 Public administration, defense and social security 29 Chemicals and chemical products 18 Fuel oil 8 Education 30 Manufacture of non-metallic pmriondeurcatlsprof dpuetcrtso,leeuxcmeatnd coal 19 LPG 9 Health services 31 Basic metal industries 20 Other refined petroleum products 10 Other community, social and personal, and household services 32 Fmaabcrhiicnateeryd amnedtaelqpuriopdmuectnst, 21 Source: Authors’ calculations It is clear that electricity has the highest energy price elasticity in the most of non-energy sectors.
Price effects on producers and consumers Estimation of the energy price elasticities of these several fuels paves the way to examine the impact of energy subsidy reform on production costs and household expenditures and real incomes in Iran."