چکیده:
The main objective of this paper is to estimate the tourism impact
on the economic growth of Iranian provinces over the period of
2000-2010. For achieving this aim, the panel data approach has
been used to the economic growth modeling. The empirical
findings show that tourist receipts have a positive impact on the
economic growth in Iranian provinces. It was found that a 10
percent increase in the spending of tourists leads to a 1 percent
increase in the GDP per capita. In addition, physical and human
capital has positive effects on economic growth, while
unemployment rate and consumer price index have negative effect
on the economic growth. Finally, the results of this study indicate
that the product elasticities are inelastic in Iran during the period of
2000-2010.
خلاصه ماشینی:
"Though, numerous studies in the past attempted to estimate tourism effect on economic growth for Iran, the application of the Panel Data approach for the set of Iran’s provinces data covering 2000to2010is new.
Table 2: The Main Empirical Studies of Tourism Development and Economic Growth Author(s) Topic Empirical Method Result Tayebi et al (2009) Relationship between international tourism and economic growth in Iran and OECD countries as well as the selected countries (View the image of this page) Brida et al.
To determine the responsiveness of income growth rate to tourism and the traditional sector, the sources of economic growth such as investment in physical and human capital, employment growth and consumer price index, we first specify a simple double log-linear Cobb-Douglass production function as: LNGDPi, t= f31+f32LNKi,t+f33LNHUMi,t+f34LNTOURi, t+f35LNUNEMPi, t+ f36INFi,t+ῃᵢ+Ei, (1) Where LNGDPi, t is the natural logarithm of per capita GDP at constant pricesduring 2000-2010 for per province, calculated thorough the chain index (source: Iran statistical center,2013), Ki,t is performance of development budget in every province (source: Iran statistical center,2013), HUMi,t is university graduates in per province (source: Iran statistical center,2013), TOURi,t is tourist receipts per capita in Rial for every state (source: Iran statistical center,2013), UNEMPi,t is unemployment rate in per province(source: Iran statistical center,2013), INFi,tis (cpi-l.
A policy implication which may be drawn from this study is that Iran’s provinces can improve their economic growth performance, not only by investing in the traditional sources of growth such as physical and human capital, trade and foreign direct investment, but also by harnessing strategically the contribution of tourism industry and improving their governance performance."