چکیده:
هدف از این پژوهش، شناسایی نواحی مستعد برای کشت انگور در حوضه آبخیز قرهسو با توجه به شرایط آبو هوایی منطقه مورد مطاله است.مراحل پژوهش حاضر عبارتند از: مرحله اول جمعآوری دادههای اقلیمی از ایستگاههای هواشناسی اردبیل، اصلاندوز، اهر، سرعین، فرودگاه، کلیبر، مشکینشهر مشیران، و نمین. مرحله دوم محاسبه و مشخص کردن شاخصهای فنولوژیکی که برای رشد انگور از جمله، بارشهای سالانه و فصلی، میانگین دما در طول دوره رشد، درجه روز رشد، رطوبت نسبی و ساعت آفتابی در بازه زمانی 20 ساله (2017-1998). مرحله سوم استفاده از روشهای سلسله مراتبی، مولتی مورا و ساو برای تصمیم گیری بهتر و تعیین ارجحیت کشت انگور میباشد.نتایج حاصل از تحلیل نقشهها نشان دادکه نواحی شرقی حوضه قره سو از قبیل ایستگاه های اردبیل، نیر و نمین با توجه به شرایط دمایی و طول روز نامناسب، نواحی مرکزی و غربی از قبیل ایستگاه های مشکین شهر، مشیران، دوست بیگلو و لاهرود با توجه به شرایط دمایی، درجه روز و بارش مناسب و نواحی جنوبی حوضه در ایستگاه کلیبر به علت شرایط مطلوب اقلیمی خیلی مناسب برای کشت انگور می باشد. همچنین نمودارها و نقشههای حاصل از محاسبات تبخیر و تعرق پتانسیل نشان میدهد که در نواحی مرکزی، غربی و جنوب حوضه قره سو نیاز آبی منطقه، به خاطر تبخیر و تعرق زیاد و بیلان منفی آب، افزایش مییابد.
Introduction The growth and development of plants depends on the genetic structure and the environment and water conditions (Creasy, 2009: 24). One of the basic ways for agricultural development is optimal land use, in accordance with climatic conditions. Essentially, it is necessary to recognize different factors, such as stability factors (elevation, soil, slope) and unstable factors (climate factors). Grapes are grown throughout the world and used alone in a variety of products. Grape cultivation is one of the major horticultural industries, with its cultivated area in the world of 7.9 million hectares (Mohammadi, 2013: 58). In general, the aim of this study was to find new areas for grape cultivation in Qare-Sou basin, considering the water conditions and vegetative needs of the grapevine, and, by investigating and identifying the positive and negative factors, the spread of cultivation Grapes or limiting it around the study area. Materials and methods Calculate the degree of growth day index Plant growth, like all biological phenomena, depends on the thermal power of the environment. The growth of each plant begins at a certain temperature threshold. For example, the grape threshold is 10 degrees centigrade. In this research, Equation 1 was used to calculate GDD (Mousavi, 1393: 117). GDD = (Tmax +Tmin )/2-Tbase In this equation, TMAX is the maximum temperature, Tmin is the minimum temperature and Tbase is the threshold temperature or plant's base temperature. If the day is zero or negative, then that day will not affect growth. So, we can calculate the GDD index for each station with the average temperature of each month and convert it to the average daily temperature and base temperature (for grapes 10) (Mousavi, 1393: 117). Average temperature during growth (T) For its calculation, Equation 2 is used, which means the average temperature of the plant growth moths that has been accumulated since the onset of the growth of the plant, which begins with germination and ends with the arrival of the grape fruit, and computes the average(Mousavi, 1393: 117). Techniques used in this research 1. Saw SAW method 2- Multimora Results and discussion First, by drawing maps in the GIS environment, we conclude that east of the river is not suitable for the cultivation of grapes, and as the west moves up, the preference for cultivating grapes increases, this priority in the northern part of Meshkin shar has reached the right place and again, as we go north stream, the priority of grape cultivation has been reduced, however, this reduction is not as high as the east mound, and the Mashiran area is considered medium for cultivation, as in the Lahrud region, but the boundary partially differs in different methods. In addition, in all methods around Kaleybar, the most suitable and best area for grape cultivation was obtained. Secondly, by interpreting the graphs and maps from the potential evapotranspiration calculations, we conclude that as we go from east to the westside of the river, the water requirement of the region increases due to high evapotranspiration and negative balance of water. Conclusion Investigations carried out with five different methods in Chapter 4, it can be concluded that most of the Qare-Sou and surrounding areas are suitable for grapevine cultivation. Grapes have a little need for water in relation to the currently cultivated crops, as well as a diverse and diverse nutritional value, high pharmaceutical value, high health and treatment, and the glacial effect due to the delay in the beginning of grape germination and water diversity And the region's airspace and the existence of the river are less than the surrounding area. Therefore, with better management, it is possible to prevent waste of water in the area and, at a lower cost, produce a valuable, nutritious and profitable product. By using five different methods, it can be concluded that most of Qarhosu and its surrounding areas are suitable for grapevine cultivation. Grapes have a little need for water in relation to the currently cultivated crops, as well as a diverse and diverse nutritional value, high pharmaceutical value and high health and treatment, as well as glacial effects due to the delay in the beginning of grape germination and water diversity. And the region's airspace and the existence of the river are less than the surrounding area. Therefore, with better management, it is possible to prevent waste of water in the area and, at a lower cost, produce a valuable, nutritious and profitable product.