چکیده:
This paper intends to point out that threats and problems related to security and stability are common and affect the entire sub-regional system، necessitating common responses. The paper is structured in three parts. In the first part this paper intends to analyse and explain the concept of security، demonstrating that from a theoretical point of view، it must not be considered as a univocal problem، but regrouping different aspects. The second part of the paper analyses the many sources of instability affecting the Persian Gulf region today، with unavoidable consequences seen in the neighbouring sub-regional systems، such as the Caucasus، Central Asia، European Union، India and China. In the third part this paper will propose some theoretical ideas and pragmatic mechanisms aimed at suggesting different solutions to the issues analysed above. There will also be a review of the proposal for the creation of a common market involving Iran and the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries as a prelude to a monetary union modelled on the experiences and results of the Euro. The effects of an end to the embargo on Iran will also be assessed. As for military security، I will assess whether the realisation of a sort of a Persian Gulf version of NATO would be possible.
خلاصه ماشینی:
Among the main sources of instability, this paper will analyse: i) the heavy foreign military presence at its borders; ii) the domestic and international consequences of so-called failed states such as Iraq and Afghanistan; iii) transnational crime and its main activities such as drug trafficking and human smuggling, iv) the impact of the so-called "Arab spring" on regional security and stability.
In this case, the response must be twofold: to establish a web of financial and economic security systems which could be formed by specific tools, such as a common currency or a common market with neighbouring countries; or, even better, economic integration supported by an univocal and strong political and political-economic institution as well as the use of force to fight non-State actors such as more and more powerful national and/or transnational criminal groups.
The main sources of instability affecting Iran and so the Persian Gulf area could be described as: the heavy foreign military presence at Iran’s borders; the presence and protraction of an economic embargo on Iran; the presence and the consequent influence of failed states in the area, such as Iraq and Afghanistan; and the impact of global socio-political transformations, such as the so-called "Arab Spring".
When it comes to enhancing economic security, both at the national level and at the regional level, the main strategies proposed here are: the establishment of a natural gas OPEC; the realisation of economic integration through the creation of a Iran+GCC common market and the creation of a Monetary union among the Persian Gulf States; to enhance trade relations; and to end the embargo on the Islamic Republic of Iran.