چکیده:
A social accounting matrix (SAM) was used as an analytical model to investigate the mutua/effects of export expansion in agriculture and manufacturing sectors as well as the social and economic impacts of this policy on the Iranian economy. The effects of the above policies were analyzed within several scenarios including a 25 percent increase in exports of agriculture and manufacturing products، a 50 percents rise in exports of horticulture products and a 25 percentrise in all other agricultural products، lind a 1000 thousands Rials increase in the exports of agriculture and manufacturing products. The simulation results show that the policy emphasizing export promotion in agricultura I sector comparing to the policy giving priority to the export ojmanufacturingproducts results in a faster economic growth in our country. Based on the results of this study، following the policy of agricultural export promotion، while causing growth of Iranian economic sectors، leads to abetter income distribution in Iran. The results of the study reveal the fact that، because agricultural sector has tt great interrelationship with the other economic sectors، it can play an important role in motivating overall economic activities in Iran
خلاصه ماشینی:
Abstract The present study investigates the reciprocal effects of increasing exports in the agricultural and industrial sectors, as well as the economic and social impacts of export promotion policies in these two sectors on the country's overall economy, using the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM).
Keywords Social Accounting Matrix/Export Development/Economic Growth/Income Distribution/Iran Introduction The pursuit of an import substitution strategy in the years before the revolution and the emphasis on independence and self-sufficiency in the early years after the victory of the Islamic Revolution had a decisive impact on the structure of industries and agriculture in the country.
Materials and Methods As mentioned in the introduction, the main objective of this study is to examine and analyze the effects of increasing the volume of exports of agricultural and industrial products on the development of these two sectors and other economic sectors of the country.
As shown in Table (2), in the first stage, the value added from production activities is first divided between labor and capital owners, distinguishing between urban and rural areas, and in cities, also distinguishing between industry, mining and service sectors.
3 billion Rials leads to the development of domestic production of the three major economic sectors of the country, namely agriculture, industry and services, and consequently creates a value equivalent to 53.
The results of the implemented scenarios showed that the development of agricultural exports, compared to the export of industrial products, leads to a greater increase in production in the total economic sectors of the country.
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