چکیده:
After collapse of the Soviet Union، Russia is faced with strategic vaccum in its foreign policy for a time. Thus، we were witnessing a period of unstable، inactive and reactionary policy- making in Russian foreign policy while the US was expanding its influence on the Russian periphery. But in Putin's administration، the Russian foreign policy has evolved dramatically. Putin put the influence expansion strategy as top priority of his foreign policy to globally revive Russia's historical power. According to the authors، neoclassical realism due to focusing on both domestic and systemic variables، is a proper theoretical framework for understanding strategic evolution of Putin’s foreign policy. This research attempts to investigate the causes of strategic change in Putin's foreign policy through answering the following question: what are the important factors of the influence of expansion strategy and how they work? The main hypothesis of this study is that economic growth (mainly based on energy sector development) and Russia's internal cohesion are the major factors affecting the Russian leaders' perception of relative power which led to influence expansion strategy in Putin's foreign policy.
خلاصه ماشینی:
The main hypothesis is that economic growth, especially resulting from energy sales, and domestic cohesion in Russia are the most influential factors on the perception of Russian leaders regarding relative power and the structure of the international system, leading to the strategy of expanding influence in Putin's foreign policy.
ir 380 Central Eurasian Studies, Vol. 9, No. 2, Autumn & Winter 2015 Introduction Following the collapse of the Soviet Union and the shock resulting from it, factors such as Yeltsin's isolationist policy and his Euro-Atlantic orientation, and due to the confused identity of Russia's foreign policy in the 1990s, domestic problems in Russia, ethnic conflicts, crises, instability, and economic problems of the regional countries, led to a decrease in Russia's influence and position at the international level and the weakening of this country's regional hegemony.
The answer to this question is that economic growth, especially resulting from energy sales and domestic cohesion 2, is considered as the most important factor influencing the perception 3 of Russian leaders of relative power and the structure of the international system, leading to a strategy of expanding influence 4 in Russia's foreign policy during the Putin era.
Based on this, the independent variable is economic growth, the mediating variable is the perception of Russian elites, especially Putin, of relative power and the structure of the international system, and the dependent variable is the strategy of expanding influence in Russia's foreign policy during the Putin era.