چکیده:
Rouhani’s promises and programs in the twelfth presidential election created a lot of expectations, especially among his supporters. However, after the victory, he confronted the frustration of many of his supporters and the dissatisfaction of many social groups. The question is how and by what factors this situation was created and what were the consequences. In this article, this question is answered based on an extended model of the theory of "relative deprivation" and by exploring the data available in cyberspace along with the documentary data. The findings of the article demonstrate that the second Rouhani's second administration, on the one hand, had created a high volume of expectations and demands, and on the other hand, from the first days of its establishment, faced increasing restrictions on the fulfillment of these expectations and demands. These constraints are due to several factors. Rising pressure from rival forces and institutions during the arrangement of the cabinet, the withdrawal of US from JCPOA and the escalation of sanctions and inconsistent and contradictory policies of the government, especially in the monetary and budgeting context, were among the most important factors. These factors have deepened the economic crisis, raised inflation, unemployment and poverty, and concerns of the lower and middle classes. This situation provoked a chain of social and political protests in the real world and in cyberspace, especially from January 2018 to August 2018. Although the protests were suppressed, they created political distrust and severe frustration among various groups over the Rouhani government's ability.
خلاصه ماشینی:
Election promises, government limitations, and political protests in Iran; a case study of the first year of Rouhani's second administration (August 2017 to August 2018) 1 Abulfazl Delavari Associate Professor of Political Science, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran.
In this section, on one hand, Rouhani's most important promises in election advertisements and his announced program, and the level of expectations they created among supporters and the general public, will be assessed; and on the other hand, the extent of his government's ability to fulfill these expectations based on the trend of change in variables such as inflation, poverty, unemployment, and social satisfaction in the first year of this government's establishment will be examined, so that the depth and extent of the gap created between expectations and possibilities can be identified and measured.
The increasing population of virtual social network users and the high volume of data generated regarding the subject of this research, namely the public reaction to the positions and performance of Rouhani's second government, forces us to apply the following three limitations: first, limiting the period under investigation to the first one-year period of this government's establishment; second, limiting the social networks under investigation to the two most heavily used and political networks, namely Twitter and Telegram; third, limiting the events under investigation to several more significant political cases, including the President's speeches and interviews in three stages: 1- the days of July 22 and July 23, 2018, after the President's remarks regarding the closing of the Strait of Hormuz and US sanctions.
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