چکیده:
Countries experience has revealed that consideration of the emergence of threats and the processes of its expansion is a vital necessity for the realization of national, regional, and international arenas for all countries. Moreover, scrutinizing the threats is regarded as the first stage of crisis management and national security planning. Decision makers and political managers can employ some types of social and economic planning to reduce parts of the threats and risks. Yet, they may face new types of security threats. This can be attributed to the principle of transformability and changes in the type of threats. For example, the first and second plans of Iran's economic development led to an increase in production and economic growth, and promoted the consumption of per capita and GDP; yet, the country faced the emergence of new forms of security threats. This research is intended to explain how a phenomenon changes into a security problem. It aims at dissecting the threats faced by societies and to explain the process of how they extend from an ordinary phenomenon to a security challenge. The research follows descriptive method for data collection of library resources, and employs elite method and analysis in dealing with the diagnosing threats. The community involves all documents, evidences and information contained in this section.
خلاصه ماشینی:
It is formed using an expert panel to determine strategic and key instances in the field of threats, considering that all activities in the target field must receive approval and compliance from the expert panel, to create constructive interaction among experts, oversee the overall process of the plan, provide macro-leadership, and make decisions in important and sensitive stages based on instances that determine the nature and duties of those involved, as well as success and efficiency in achieving the goal.
Some analysts, in their investigations and studies, use the concept of threat assessment as one of the reasons for military planning during 119 the Cold War. During this time, the concept of threat was presented within the framework of national security and in reference to dual threats arising from state powers as well as their ideologies.
Although sometimes a category such as military armament expansion can be considered a combination of capability or a goal separate from threat, the risks arising from internal violence have increased, and the increasing role of non-state actors in securing national interests has led to the formation of global threatening factors such as terrorist networks, structural terrorism, and also new forms of structural violence; therefore, with the broadening of the concept of security, risks have become more complex and less calculable (Brauch, 2011: 62-63).
According to the third condition, within the phenomenon, situation, or trend as the subject of threat, the necessary force to jeopardize the survival of the security reference objectives or the key assets of the threat domain (the threatened party) may exist.