چکیده:
The Islamic Republic of Iran considers ECO a 'regional grouping,' but foreign provocations and interventions among the members of this organization are greater than what would allow ECO to become a true regional grouping in its current conditions and structure. Given the fact that the eight members of ECO, including the Republic of Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan, are located in the Caspian - Central Asia region, this formation can be considered a potential Caspian - Central Asia regional organization that could create a real and important regional grouping from the sum of the countries in this region. This article, using a descriptive-analytical method relying on library resources and employing the Delphi method, seeks to examine convergent and divergent factors and their weighting in the formation of the regional organization under consideration. The research findings, under two general headings: convergent factors (geopolitics of access, geopolitics of oil pipelines, the role of Iran's geoculture, etc.) and divergent factors (the role of extra-regional powers, differences in the nature of political systems, intra-regional disputes and competitions, etc.), do not present a clear prospect for achieving an effective regional system in the medium term.
خلاصه ماشینی:
Given the fact that eight members of ECO, including the Republic of Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan, are located in the Caspian-Central Asia region, this formation can be considered a potential Caspian-Central Asian regional organization that can create a real and important regional grouping from the total countries of this region.
Although the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) has had little attraction and power in realizing an optimal, stable, and influential regional organization in various fields due to structural and functional problems, the undeniable truth is that eight members of ECO, including the Republic of Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan, are located in the Caspian-Central Asia region, and this formation can be considered a potential Caspian-Central Asian regional organization that is capable of creating a real and important regional grouping from the total countries of this region.
The increasing production of cotton, orchard products, and dried fruits in Uzbekistan, and the reduction of political units preventing Kazakhstan from reaching the south, with an emphasis on the North-South Corridor (KTI) for easier access to the south (Iran) for the purpose of transiting goods and energy, as well as Tajikistan's very high motivations to reach northern Afghanistan and Iran, and also Uzbekistan's connection to this route via Termez, are all reasons why Central Asian and Caspian countries, within the framework of the strategy of diversifying access routes to free markets, are inclined to expand their relations with regional powers (Hafiznia et al.
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