چکیده:
Economic planning and modeling in the oil market is becoming increasingly important given the concept of 'non-renewability' and the imminent entry of competing technologies and 'economic depletion.' Given the necessity of optimal policymaking in oil production, this study aims to achieve the optimal oil production path for the target oil field using a profit maximization model with technical production constraints and considerations. The stated optimization problem was solved using programs designed in MATLAB software, considering variable initial conditions and expected development levels of production for the oil field; the resulting optimal paths were simulated and analyzed in several scenarios for the period 1365-1425 SH. The results of the study indicate that, regardless of differences in scenarios regarding discount rates or planning periods, the optimal paths for oil production and gas injection differ significantly from the achieved values. These results can be attributed to the lack of economic planning in the field's oil production and the suboptimal use of gas resources in its conservation production.
خلاصه ماشینی:
o Choke Price} Dynamic Optimization of Oil Production in Iran (A Case Study of the Haftgel Oil Field with Emphasis on Conservation Production) Dr. Teymour Mohammadi, Assistant Professor, Faculty of Economics, Allameh Tabataba'i University {o*o} Dr. Monireh Motamedi, Assistant Professor, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran {o**o} Received Date: 87/7/30 Accepted Date: 88/4/14 Pages: 235-265 Economic planning and modeling in the oil market has increasing importance given the concept of "non-renewability," the imminent entry of competing technologies to oil, and its "economic depletion.
The stated optimization problem was solved using a computer program designed in BALTAM software, considering initial variable conditions and expected production development levels for the oil field; the resulting optimal path was simulated and analyzed under several scenarios for the period 1365-1425 (SH).
The results of the study indicate that, regardless of differences in scenarios regarding discount rates or planning periods, the optimal paths for oil production and gas injection differ significantly from the achieved values.
Model Introduction Optimization model framework:{o1o} (refer to the page image) t^V: value function (expected present value of net oil production benefits), t^R: oil sales revenue function t^C: oil production cost function, t^X: daily field oil production (million barrels), t^N: number of producing wells (from the beginning of the exploitation period to the current period), t^ig: amount of gas injected (billion cubic feet) into the field, which is a function of production, the number of existing wells, and new wells {o(1).
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