Abstract:
منطقه جنوب آسیا با نزدیک به دو میلیارد نفر جمعیت در سال 2021، بهعنوان یک حوزه ژئوپلیتیکی مستقل همواره یکی از کانونهای تنش در سیاست جهانی بوده است. در چند دهه اخیر، با گسترش رشد اقتصادی کشورهای منطقه و افزایش تقاضا برای واردات و مصرف انرژی، کشورهای جنوب آسیا کوشیدهاند ترتیباتی مدنظر قرار دهند که بیش از هر چیز تأمینکننده منافع ملی آنها باشد. در این راستا، مسئله امنیت در این منطقه به دلیل حضور دو کشور هستهای یعنی هند و پاکستان و نیز چین (در شرق آسیا) که دارای تعارض منافع گستردهای با یکدیگر هستند؛ به یک موضوع حیاتی برای کشورهای عضو منطقه و دیگر کشورهای جهان تبدیلشده است. بهویژه آنکه رشد همزمان هند و چین، یک عامل اساسی برای درک بهتر قرن بیست و یکم است.این تحقیق با روش توصیفی تحلیلی به این مهم میپردازد که چگونه انرژی بر فرایند امنیت منطقهای جنوب آسیا تأثیر گذاشته است؛ و چگونه چین و هند دراینباره به نقشآفرینی میپردازند. نتیجه تحقیق نشان میدهد عواملی همچون تعارض منافع، رقابتهای ژئوپلیتیک، کشمکشهای سرزمینی موجب شدهاند تا چین و هند در راستای توسعه اقتصادی هر چه بیشتر خود اقدام به گسترش حوزه نفوذ در فراتر از مرزهای ملی خودنمایند تا شرایط لازم برای تأمین منافع خود بهویژه در حوزه انرژی موردنیاز را فراهم آورند. این امر موجب شده است امنیت منطقهای در این بخش از جهان بیش از گذشته شکننده و در معرض تهدید قرار گیرد.
Extended Abstract Introduction The South Asian region, which consists of eight countries: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are is of the main centers of energy consumption in the 21st century, where the issue of energy security A variety of demographic, economic, political, geographical, geopolitical and geoeconomics factors are of great importance. China and India as two growing powers, Across Asia and the surrounding waters, are at odds with each other in terms of national interests, they try to limit the other country on the one hand with the aim of further growth, and on the other hand by creating unions and mutual blockade. In the meantime, Undoubtedly, the issue of energy and access to it will play a big role in the territorial claims of India and China in this region and this raises the question of what effect geopolitics of energy will have on regional security in South Asia, given the mapping of China and India? Methodology According to the research topic, which examines the geopolitical role of energy on security in the regions of South Asia and the role of two major regional actors, namely China and India, on the agenda, Researchers have tried to study the subject using analytical and descriptive research methods. In the analytical-descriptive research method, an attempt is made to analyze geographical events and facts using analytical logic, and Library studies have been used to collect data and information used in the research. Also, using software such as Arc GIS and options such as Smart Art in word, maps and shapes have been prepared following the research objectives. Results and discussion South Asia region and China-India geopolitical competition The South Asian region is at the heart of geopolitical change for at least two reasons: 1- China's economic and military progress, as well as its efforts to increase its diplomatic and trade influence in the Eurasian region. 2- India's progress and efforts to cooperate with South and Southeast Asia (and Eurasia). South Asia is the only independent region that completely seeks to become a "global balancer" with different outcomes. India competes with China in South Asia alongside territorial disputes with Pakistan and even at some point in the 1960s, due to territorial disputes, it engaged in a military confrontation with its eastern neighbor. These geopolitical and territorial disputes have caused that China and Pakistan should get closer to each other and expose the geopolitical chess scene in the Indian subcontinent to new complexities. Geopolitics of energy and geopolitics of access in South Asia The countries of the South Asian region are constantly facing the problem of increasing energy demand and should consider strategies that, given their dependence on energy imports, provide them with a continuous and secure flow of energy. However, statistics show the growing dependence of these countries on Middle Eastern crude oil but at the same time, both India and China are moving to supply crude oil from sources outside the Middle East, such as African countries (Nigeria, Angola, and Congo), Asian countries (Russia and Malaysia), and American countries (Mexico, Venezuela, Colombia, and United States). Energy and geopolitical competition between India and China in South Asia China's geopolitical approaches to South Asia are not limited to Pakistan. this country is also seeking to maintain its supremacy in the Strait of Malacca. China's domination of the Straits of Malacca has raised concerns for India, because, in the west of the region, China is also seeking to exert influence in the north of the Arabian Sea. China's domination of both east and west connecting highways with South Asia gives it a geostrategic advantage over India and it poses a growing threat to India's secure access to major fossil energy sources, especially crude oil. US intervention and Intensified competition between India and China In South Asia Factors such as China's economic and security development, China moves across the Indian Ocean, China threatens to US interests in the Persian Gulf geopolitical region can affect the issue of energy exchange in the world, the existence of American interests in South Asia, geopolitical rivalry between three major actors: India, Pakistan, and China, encouraged the United States to play an active role in the security structures of South Asia and to cooperate strategically with India. Conclusion From a geopolitical point of view, energy supply and proper access to it have a decisive role in regional security. Regional Security in South Asia, influenced by the presence and design of India and China. Both depend on energy imports to stabilize and sustain economic development. Also, due to a set of factors such as geopolitical rivalries and energy geopolitics, countries of the South Asian region have failed to establish a common structure and system for the benefit of the common good and the security of the region. In other words, countries in the region are constantly facing the problem of increasing energy demand and therefore inevitably have to consider strategies that, given their dependence on energy imports, provide them with a continuous and safe flow of energy. Finally, the issue of energy has led to the achievement of geopolitical supremacy in the South Asian region becoming a security priority in the new geopolitics of India and China. The result of this approach, is the fragility of the security of the South Asian Region that has threatened the interests of both countries and their regional neighbors.
Machine summary:
ir مقدمه منطقه جنوب آسيا که متشکل از هشت کشور افغانستان ، بنگلادش ، بوتان ، هندوستان ، مالديو، نپال ، پاکستان و سريلانکا است ، يکي از کانون هاي اصلي مصرف انرژي در قرن بيست و يکم است که مسئله امنيت انرژي در آن به سبب طيف متنوعي از عوامل جمعيتي، اقتصادي، سياسي، جغرافيايي، ژئوپليتيک و ژئواکونوميک اهميت بسزايي دارد.
بااين وجود به نظر ميرسد به سبب رقابت هاي ديرپاي ژئوپليتيک ، کشمکش هاي سرزميني و تاريخي، حضور دو بازيگر عمده جهاني (چين و هند)، نقش آفريني عوامل اقتصادي، سياسي، ژئوپليتيک و ژئواکونوميک در امنيت منطقه ، مسئله دسترسي امن به انرژي در منطقه جنوب آسيا را ميتوان در فهرست موضوعات حياتي و درعين حال پر چالش اين منطقه قرار داد.
زيرا دو کشور چين و پاکستان با نزديکي استراتژيک به يکديگر در تلاش هستند در هر دو سوي قلمروي هند به گسترش نفوذ و تثبيت قدرت بپردازند، اين امر به شکل ويژه اي باعث شده است که مسير دسترسي هند به انرژي در معرض خطر قرار گيرد و متعاقبا امنيت منطقه اي جنوب آسيا نيز متأثر شود.
The elephant and the tiger: Energy security, geopolitics, and national strategy in China and India’s cross border gas pipelines.
Energy security, electricity, population and economic growth: The case of a developing South Asian resource-rich economy.